Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.603543 0.703017 0.811184 0.937208 1.079658 1.235329 1.417960
2025-01-05 0.432020 0.562928 0.718871 0.916836 1.159811 1.446561 1.808675
2025-01-12 0.326145 0.467954 0.650429 0.899041 1.225038 1.633672 2.179696
2025-01-19 0.257287 0.401874 0.600822 0.888660 1.287443 1.812525 2.546687
2025-01-26 0.215900 0.363421 0.578592 0.906275 1.381694 2.033616 2.979377
2025-02-02 0.182823 0.329941 0.556347 0.917513 1.463500 2.239384 3.401639
2025-02-09 0.155524 0.299898 0.533580 0.922718 1.533498 2.429856 3.811566
2025-02-16 0.137123 0.280968 0.524695 0.946462 1.630767 2.663673 4.295806
2025-02-23 0.119265 0.259555 0.508185 0.954768 1.702723 2.862229 4.737625
2025-03-02 0.098345 0.228424 0.470305 0.922177 1.704473 2.951080 5.016067
2025-03-09 0.088510 0.217107 0.465949 0.946031 1.799763 3.190622 5.538812
2025-03-16 0.078935 0.204503 0.457293 0.960650 1.879442 3.408577 6.037745
2025-03-23 0.074264 0.202035 0.468433 1.013787 2.032055 3.758217 6.772930
2025-03-30 0.064362 0.185869 0.450173 1.009480 2.082260 3.940659 7.246283
2025-04-06 0.055074 0.169161 0.428317 0.995409 2.112770 4.090465 7.672372
2025-04-13 0.047516 0.155062 0.409865 0.985660 2.149569 4.251889 8.124559
2025-04-20 0.043012 0.148012 0.406029 1.005396 2.243589 4.518742 8.769823
2025-04-27 0.038582 0.140171 0.399207 1.017828 2.323761 4.764394 9.388955
2025-05-04 0.034313 0.131793 0.389862 1.023562 2.390518 4.988462 9.979532
2025-05-11 0.031563 0.127399 0.389661 1.049524 2.499845 5.296479 10.733393
2025-05-18 0.028317 0.120638 0.382469 1.058603 2.574526 5.542706 11.385485
2025-05-25 0.023648 0.107831 0.357439 1.022990 2.551871 5.601524 11.695762
2025-06-01 0.021873 0.104692 0.358091 1.049058 2.663311 5.924773 12.510048